For many organisations, foresight has improved the visibility of what’s changing. The harder question is how interconnected shifts – across technology, regulation, geopolitics and markets – translate into real strategic outcomes.

Scenario planning helps structure long-term thinking. But it often remains static and descriptive, rather than directly informing live strategic decisions. That’s the gap we’re now working to address with our new partnership with 51Folds.AI.

51Folds has built a probabilistic simulation platform designed to model complex uncertainty and dynamically test how future outcomes change as conditions evolve.

Over the coming months, we’ll be combining our strategic foresight and signal intelligence with 51Folds’ modelling capability to move beyond narrative scenarios, toward dynamic testing of strategy.

Our focus is to enable teams to:
• Test how interconnected shifts shape strategic outcomes
• Prioritise the uncertainties most material to long-term objectives, both positively and negatively
• See projections update as market or global conditions evolve
• Detect tipping points earlier by monitoring movement in projected outcomes, not just isolated events

Rather than just asking “what might happen?”, organisations should also be able to ask, “what would need to change for this outcome to become more or less likely – and how exposed are we if it does?”

We see this as the next step in how foresight supports real decisions. 

We’re looking forward to shaping this next phase alongside the team at 51Folds, and will share more as we reach key milestones over the coming months.